Guides

How to judge a prediction site: a 7-point checklist

Search "best football prediction site" and every result says it's the best, which tells you the phrase has no referee. So here's a checklist instead. Seven questions you can answer in ten minutes on any site, including ours. Run it before you pay anyone.

1. Can you see the losses?

The single most revealing test. A trustworthy site keeps a public, graded archive: every published pick, with the result attached, wins and losses alike. Tipster channels that delete bad days, or post winning slips only after full-time, fail here instantly. If yesterday isn't visible, today is unverifiable.

2. Is confidence stated before kick-off?

"We were confident about that one" after the match is worthless. A serious service attaches a probability or confidence score to each pick when it's published, so you can hold it to the number later. Adjectives are not numbers.

3. Do they explain how picks are made?

You don't need the source code, but you should be able to find a plain explanation: what data goes in, how it's weighed, what gets a pick dropped. "Our experts analyse every game" explains nothing. A site that can't describe its method probably doesn't have one.

4. Are the claims physically possible?

Published research puts good models at 50-60% on match outcomes; the random baseline is 33%. A site claiming 95% accuracy across real odds is describing a machine that would quietly bankrupt every bookmaker on earth. It's being sold to you for the price of a pizza. Sit with that.

5. Is anyone selling "fixed matches"?

Automatic fail, and worth naming plainly: fixed-match sellers are scammers, every time. Real match-fixing is organised crime that does not retail its secrets to strangers online. A site or channel that even flirts with this language is not a prediction service.

6. How do they treat responsible gambling?

Look for a visible 18+ position, honest language about risk, and a real responsible-gambling page with links to actual help, not a grudging footnote. A service that talks about "guaranteed daily income" from betting is recruiting for a treadmill, not offering analysis.

7. Can you leave easily?

Clear pricing, cancellation that doesn't require begging, and no fake countdown timers or "3 slots left" pressure. Confidence in a product shows up as calm sales copy.

Scoring it

Seven for seven is rare; that's rather the point. Most of the sites ranking for "sure odds" fail 1, 2, 4 and 5 simultaneously. When a site fails the first two, nothing else matters: without a graded record and pre-stated confidence, you cannot distinguish skill from luck, and neither can they.

We built WonlyAI to pass this list, and you shouldn't take that on trust either. The graded archive and calibration curve cover points 1 and 2; the how it works explainer covers 3; the accuracy numbers we cite are the boring, published ones, which covers 4; and the responsible gambling page is a real page. Audit us against the checklist. That's what it's for.

Common questions

What is the best football prediction site?
Any answer should come with evidence: a public graded record including losses, pre-match confidence scores, and a described method. Sites that only assert "best" or "most accurate" are marketing.
How do I verify a prediction site's accuracy?
Check its archive against real results for a few weeks before paying. If there is no archive, or it only shows wins, treat every claim as unverified.
Are paid prediction sites worth it?
Only if their record, checked by you, beats what free information already gives you. Run the checklist first; most sites fail it.

More guides

18+ only. Predictions are probabilities, never promises. If gambling is hurting you, see our responsible gambling page.